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Driven by Germany, Europe Posts 1.0 Percent Growth. |
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European economic growth outpaced the United States and Japan in the second quarter, driven by Germany's best performance since reunification, European Union data showed last month.
The economy in the 16-nation eurozone grew by 1.0 percent between April and June, compared to quarter-on-quarter growth of 0.4 percent in the United States and 0.1 percent in Japan.
Europe was pulled up by Germany's best quarterly performance since reunification in 1990, with growth of 2.2 percent, according to the Eurostat figures, which confirmed a previous estimate.
So where does this leave the German housing market? Well, after a decade of near stagnant prices in many parts of the market, the uptake in employment and consumer confidence is having an effect on the ground. It could be said from a property cycle perspective that property is now entering a phase of appreciation, from a point of the current high rental yields / low purchase prices. This occurs in any functioning market, and steady capital appreciation should be expected as confidence to buy off lower yields increases. Whilst most of the developed world was experiencing a property boom in the early 2000's, between 2003 & 2005 the German property market experienced its period of downturn and has been recovering ever since. During the global recession, contrary to the rest of the developed world, property prices remained level and even showed periods of growth and Germany now finds itself in the 'upturn' segment of the curve while most countries markets are still stagnating. Other factors are at play in the German market however. In many location, rental levels have remained very low for the past decade and show huge potential for increase. For example, in the capital Berlin, it is not uncommon to pay around 300 Eur per month for a 2-bed apartment in a reasonable location. This is cheap by any standards, especially in the strongest economy in Europe. Housing costs represent around 20% of household income in Berlin which points to a very high level of affordability, or put another way potential for rental increases as the economy continues to strengthen. By way of comparison, renters in UK and USA would expect to devote around 30-35% of their household income on rent and associated costs. This is a real oddity in the German market that could well be equalised as the economy develops. And as rents rise, so do rental yields and consequently capital values.
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